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Microsoft Polls Xbox Gamers about First Debate: Romney Wins [Video]

The views expressed are those of the author and are not necessarily those of Scientific American.


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election, president, obama, romneyXbox Live gamers paused from their usual Wednesday night online multiplayer battles against interstellar invaders and zombies to weigh in on the first presidential debate. Xbox users, jacked in through their Internet-connected consoles, are in a better position than most people to answer a quick poll, and Microsoft, which delivers gaming and other entertainment via the Internet through its Xbox Live service, took advantage of its captive audience to conduct some political research.

Microsoft acknowledges the limited scope of the poll, says it is still analyzing the data, and hasn’t widely publicized the survey results at this point. Still, David Rothschild, an economist with Microsoft Research and a fellow at Columbia University’s Applied Statistics Center in New York City, shared some preliminary findings at Scientific American’s request.

More than 10,000 Xbox Live users responded during the debate. Whereas most of them indicated up front that President Obama’s views more closely aligned with their own, for example, on the economy, their responses during the debate suggested that former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney got the better of the incumbent. “We found that ‘undecideds’ broke for Romney while Obama consistently lost support from his base,” Rothschild says.

Microsoft posed 10 questions during the debate to customers. The company created a baseline of the audience by asking Xbox Live users to respond to questions including: “What is the likelihood you will vote in this election?”, “If the election were held today, who would you vote for?”, and “In the election for President, have you decided who to vote for?” For this last question, 72 percent responded that they had “definitely decided”, 17 percent were “leaning” toward a candidate and the rest were “still trying to decide”. When asked which candidate comes closer to their position on the economy, 57 percent chose Obama and 31 percent chose Romney, with the remaining 12 percent “not sure”.

Yet, for nine of out the 10 poll questions, endorsements for Romney’s performance exceeded his baseline of Republican supporters. President Obama did not fair nearly as well—eight out of 10 times he fell below his baseline of Democratic supporters. Approximately 30 percent of participants identified themselves as undecided or not leaning strong toward either candidate, according to Rothschild, who develops election forecast models for Microsoft Research as a means of studying the effectiveness of different data algorithms.

After each of the debate’s segments, Microsoft posed questions related to the topics they were discussing at the moment, such as taxes, the economy and healthcare. Questions included: “Which candidate was more persuasive on tax policy?” and “Which candidate was more persuasive for healthcare?” The researchers are still breaking down the results, “but the key result was clear—Romney was consistently above his baseline on these questions and Obama was consistently below,” Rothschild says.

Nearly 70 percent of respondents indicated that would not only vote in the upcoming election but would also communicate their position on the candidates via social media, Rothschild adds.

Microsoft hasn’t released the exact number of participants, saying only that while about 10,000 users respond to its daily Xbox Live polls participation in this event far exceeded that number. The following video shows how poll questions appeared to Xbox users during one particular segment of the debate.

 

    
 
 
 
 
 
 
  
Image courtesy of Robin Elmgren, via iStockphoto.com
Video courtesy of Microsoft

About the Author: Larry is the associate editor of technology for Scientific American, covering a variety of tech-related topics, including biotech, computers, military tech, nanotech and robots. Follow on Twitter @lggreenemeier.

The views expressed are those of the author and are not necessarily those of Scientific American.





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  1. 1. DeepSpace 7:22 pm 10/4/2012

    Voting Is A Choice Between A Pink Dildo & A Purple Dildo
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KZAmfDWsRwA

    Link to this
  2. 2. jr.venkatkalepu 2:03 am 10/5/2012

    playing xbox should be made mandatory.

    Link to this
  3. 3. sunspot 7:24 pm 10/9/2012

    Since gamers are not known for their depth of knowledge and wise decision making, why even ask them for an opinion?! Even they don’t care what they think… just pass them a joy stick and they’re happy. These are not the people we should be asking for solid opinions. Obama handled all the issues like a pro. Getting Romney to state a position on the issues was ludicrous and frustrating. OK, so Romney did say that he would take funding away from PBS, even though he likes Big Bird. Is that all the man sees in PBS?! Any scientists who vote for Romney are signing their own pink slips.

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  4. 4. lopodias 4:44 am 10/10/2012

    I thought Scientific American had the policy of not publishing politycal articles. I guess it is no more true, or it is my mistake.

    Link to this

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